Archive for October, 2007
The windshield: TV’s second screen
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I was watching the NBC series Life on TIVO last night. It gets better and better. About half way through the present episode (the one about angels), Damian Lewis and Sarah Shahi are traveling in a car talking about shooting a suspect. Reflections play on the windshield. (See the line of blue on this image of Shahi.)
Windshields are worth watching. How come?
1) The naturalistic conventions that rule TV continue to insist that certain kinds of artistic representation are forbidden.
2) This forces directors to smuggle things in to story and onto the screen.
3) One way to do this is to put your characters in a car in motion. Driving is an an ordinary event from everyday life and therefore welcome on the screen under the "naturalism" rules.
4) Good things happen when characters are in motion. The world gets more voluptuous. Color, shapes and city scapes stream in the background.
5) Better still, shapes and colors stream across the window. See, for instance, the scene in Grosse Pointe Blank when John Cusak is driving into town (eyes right). A flock of birds streams across his windshield. In Out of Sight, as George Clooney and Ving Rhames sit in the car before climbing the hill to break into big house owned by Albert Brooks, the windshield virtually steals the scene. Windshields are active.
6) Windshields give us a screen built into the screen. But this second screen adds light and color, as it were, accidentally. The Director can dismiss this as a natural or accidental artistic event. The viewer can dismiss it too. He or she can see through to the event taking place inside the car.
7) So windshields are a very discrete way of making the signal richer and more visual without sound the "art alarm," the one that says, "hold on to your hats, we’re going to get all creative here." Windshields have a take it or leave it quality, there if you "like that sort of thing," and more or less invisible if you prefer the naturalist convention.
Contemporary culture is getting more complex and creative. And the windshield is a good way of enriching the signal. This is also the future of branding as we learn to take one big signal and break it out into finer messages for smaller audiences.
9) Now if only we can find a way to built a third screen into that second one…
Acknowledgments
I am not sure who gets the credit at Life. One or all of the following parties: Rand Ravich, Far Shariat, Dave Semel.
Design
Posted by: | CommentsHere’s an interview published in The Globe and Mail over the weekend in which I offer a couple of thoughts on the topic of design. Thanks to Amy Verner for the opportunity to sing out. You can find the interview here.
Apologies
No images today. I am in Portland using the public Metro Fi, free wireless internet.
PSA (Plain Style Anthropology)
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Last week, I had the honor of speaking to a distinguished senior anthropologist. (I will name him, if he’ll let me.) We talked about a lot of things, but we stopped a moment to mourn the rise of a post modern anthropology.
Today, I came across these well chosen words in the Times Literary Supplement.
Traditionalists who lament the decline of old crafts and media in Western art are mourning a loss not so much of sophistication as of innocence. It is not nowadays enough just to depict things because you think they’re interesting to think about, or, God forbid, pleasing to look at. The almost Maoist culture of self-examination, and critical engagement with this or that artistic tradition, which modern Western art schools enforce, give much contemporary art its force, but also contribute to one big weakness. Much contemporary art is what an old-school aesthete would call mannerist – it’s art about art, not art about life.
Different field, same problem, apparently. For many of my disciplinary brothers and sisters, anthropology is about anthropology, not about life. It’s mannerist.
Now I would like to say that I refused mannerist anthropology, rising up to slay the postmodern dragon with the bright sword of my Chicago training. But the fact of the matter is simpler and less noble. I make my living as a practicing anthropologist and post modernist verities don’t serve me very well.
This October I will have done projects for a new media firm, a Canadian telecom, a sporting equipment company, and a research firm, and I will have given presentations to designers, financial marketers, and people interested in trends. Every report and presentation was designed to fit what I believed would serve my client, and never once did it seem to me they needed to hear choice words from Derrida or Lacan. I need ideas I can use, because I make my living selling ideas that clients can use.
But no, it’s probably not just pragmatism. It’s not just the market imposing an intellectual discipline. I am Scottish Canadian Presbyterian of middle age for whom the "plain style" is more or less built in. (I had to get over the pretensions of my youth for these to become clear.) Postmodernism is too slushy for me. (It may herald an epistemological springtime, but this Canadian wants the bracing clarities of a winter’s day.) I think best when using simple propositions, put as plainly as possible, with evidence and argument summoned as necessary (and no more), with a "garnish" of metaphor to make comprehension faster and more fun.
Plain style anthropology comes with engineering specs on the outside. You can see what the pieces (propositions) are and how the relationships (the argument) work. You can see what the fault lies, and what needs fixing…when something needs fixing. And yes I understand that I making old fashioned demands, and that these badly misunderstand the intellectual, political and epistemological challenges before us. But hey, I have a problem to solve, a client to satisfy, a post to right, and I have, usually, 40 minutes to wrap things up. You’ve noticed I expect that postmodernists have a way of making the same argument over and over again. They are, after all, mannerists. Anthropology is about anthropology and always, come to that, the same anthropology.
References
Miller, Keith. 2007. More whaling and shouting. Times Literary Supplement. October 19, 2007, p. 17.
Gratuitous remarks
I have just started up reading TLS after years away from it, and I have to say what a pleasure it is. It’s never very expensive and it would be good value at 4 times the cost.
Apology
Sorry not to have been posting. I am at a kind of brainstorming thing in Mexico and time and internet access are in short supply.
Nike + and the creation of private and public consumer value
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When BusinessWeek gets around to choosing the best innovation of 2007, Nike + will win going away. It’s an astonishing development.
Here’s how it works: I put a chip in my (Nike) running shoe. This broadcasts information to the iPod nano I carry with me on the run. I come home from a run (more usually, a walk) and my iPod uploads my running information to the Nike website where it is aggregated with all the other running/walking data uploaded by all the other runners and walkers in America.
I know. I know. This is one of those classic innovation moments that makes you go, "Wait. What?" Actually, this is actually what I got engraved on my Nano. There’s a good chance you will have to try this technology before it makes perfect sense.
See the image insert. (Clicking on it will make it easier to read.) This describes my walk for yesterday. The line represents the moments I sped up and slowed down. It appears that I came to a dead stop at one point. I have no idea what happened there. Mooning over flowers, possibly? You can see the overall distance. Along the top are my accumulated stats. As I say, I am walking on most trips, so that’s why the mile per hour figure is so large.
One way to understand this innovation is to look at the private and public value it creates.
Exercise is lonely, painful, and boring. And this is enough to discourage most people from doing it faithfully (or at all). Nike + can’t actually do anything about the painful part, but it gets at lonely and boring very effectively. It allows everyone to devote their miles to challenges.
This means, for instance, that everyone on the South side of Chicago can now use their miles to compete against everyone on the North side of Chicago. The Nike + works as a vast spread sheet. It sums all the runs. At the end of every day, you can watch your run uploaded and you can see who’s winning the challenges you belong to.
That’s an incentive that may launch a couch potato out of the house. If our runner is just running for himself, well, the temptation to remain housebound is strong. But if he is now running for everyone on the South side of Chicago, and his team now happens to be just a few hundred miles from acing those North side numskulls, it’s a different proposition altogether.
The private value is that I exercise more. The public value is that I now "belong" to and participate with collectivities that would otherwise not much interest me. This is a kind of mechanized networking of the kind we see more and more of.
Of course, these are early days. I am using my accumulated miles to compete in a competition between my little town in Connecticut and Steam Boat Springs, Colorado. It’s not going very well. No one in Steam Boat Springs has picked up the challenge. Or maybe that’s not so bad. (We could take this one.) My little town in Connecticut is not always the friendliest place in the world. (That New England frostiness, you know.) But I can see our competition with Steam Boat Sprngs changing changing that a little. (I also issued an open challenge to all the towns smaller than 5 k in Connecticut, proving that I didn’t really get how challenges work.) As I say, it’s early days. This is one of those technologies that is going to find its own applications, and amaze us as it does.
I wonder if we are going to see that Nike miles "on the ground" will become anything like frequent-flyer miles "in the air." We were all surprised to see the air miles became a measure for things other than travel and a currency in markets beyond the frequent-flyer one. It’s not hard to imagine runners becoming "mile philanthropists," donating their miles to worthing causes, with brands other than Nike matching them mile for mile.
But these are down stream effects. In the meantime, the question is simply: did Nike accomplish something that is good for the brand. Well, in my own experience, it just went from being another sports supplier to an enabler that has changed the way I think about exercise and the way I participate in it. More than that, Nike has found a way to amplify my accomplishments…and then broadcast them.
Talk about engagement. Talk about partnering with the consumer! Talk about brand and consumer cocreating. Geez, Louise, this is good marketing.
post script
I am traveling most of tomorrow. I will blog if I can but I will be most of the day in the plane.
post script 2
The partnership with iPod uses music in some interesting and useful ways. I left out this part of the story to simplify the exposition.
References
The website for Nike + is here.
Geeks and Players: ying and yang of popular culture
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I just finished watching Chuck on NBC (Monday, 8:00). It’s about a guy who runs a "Geek Squad" type service at the charmingly named "Buy More." The Big Bang Theory (Monday, 8:30, CBS) is a Beauty and the Geek proposition, two guys living across the hall from a woman who is, as the phrase has it, totally out of their league.
These shows join Heroes, Numb3rs, and Mythbusters, all of which features nerdy people. I think we could even say that Tina Fay’s character Liz Lemon on 30 Rock is a nerd. She really just wants to stay home and watch Starwars. (30 Rock character Kenneth Parcell might also qualify.)
Geeks and nerds are surprisingly popular when you think that they are, officially, objects of scorn. They colonized a good bit of the Fall schedule.
If we had to choose another big trend in cultural programming recently, it would have to be Vegas. Viva Laughlin appeared on CBS (it has since been cancelled). This joins the NBC series Las Vegas and CSI: Crime Scene Investigation, and a slew of Hollywood movies including, Swingers (1992), Honeymoon in Vegas (1992), Casino (1995), Very Bad Things (1998), Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas (1998), MTV Real World: Las Vegas (1992), Ocean’s Eleven (2001), The Cooler (2003), Ocean’s Twelve (2004), Smokin’ Aces (2006), and Ocean’s Thirteen (2007).
Generalizing perhaps too generously, we’ve got two very different species of social life: geeks and, if we take the Vegas trend to its core, players (aka, playas). My assumption here is that the social type most favored by Vegas is the male who is a self aggrandizing, risk taking, high roller. The kind of guy who appears in the HBO TV show, Entourage, or Ocean’s X.
This leaves us with a nice little contrast. Geeks are timid creatures. Players are swash buckling and vain glorious. Geeks calculate the odds. Players just jump. Geeks are world renouncing. Players are overweening. How odd that these two creatures should have come out of corn or obscurity to high profile positions in contemporary culture.
What’s up? I think this strange duality might tell us something about Millenials. Geeks and Players might be their ying and yang, the two poles between which they have set up shop. Or maybe not. I haven’t done the ethnography, so I’m guessing. And asking. Thoughts, anyone?
Gawker.com as a Harvard Business School case study
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One of the joys of teaching at the Harvard Business School was watching 80 students take on a problem, chew through the data, and work their way to clarity.
What would they do with "Everybody Sucks"? This is an exquisitely interesting article in the current issue of New York Magazine. It treats Gawker, the gossip column that has attracted so much attention recently on the web.
I propose to treat "Everybody Sucks" as if it were a case study tossed into the Piranha-filled waters of HBS classroom. I don’t say that I will do as good a job as 80 HBS students. But I’m going to try.
Extracting the issues
1. the tone of the article is agonized, and it doesn’t take long to see why. The author, Vanessa Grigoriadis, is caught in a contradiction. She is a member of a journalist class that has long enjoyed the pleasure of playing the outsider, telling truth to power. For someone who belongs to this class, Gawker comes as a nasty surprise. It is a website that treats journalists as they treat the rest of New York. Gawker has scorned Grigoriadis herself, "dragging my family," she says, "into [a] foul, bloggy sewer…"
2. Grigoriadis’ discomfort is something more than a personal problem. It is something more than a sociological switcheroo. It is an technological and economic issue in so far as it represents the disintermediation of a marketplace. The internet makes possible another lawyer of journalism, a new medium for public discourse, and the participation of a new generation of individuals, as a result of which journalists matter less than they used to. They do not control our access to the news, as once they did. They do not shape our understanding of the world, as once they did. They do not play gatekeeper, as once they did. This elite has lost power. (And this is a special injury for journalists. Badly paid, and shabbily treated, power was the best of their compensations.)
3. How old is Gawker? Not very. (I can get away with this sort of thing on a blog. In the HBS classroom, everyone would have extracted this from the article. Ok, it was 2002. I looked.) In this brief history, Gawker has undergone a disintermediation of its own. In the early days, comments on site were an "embarrassment," to use the language of Gawker owner Nick Denton. But they are now, he says, a strength. Post comments introduce what Denton calls an element of "anarchy" Gawker was beginning to lose.
4. Here we could depend upon a student to observe the rise of "commenter value" and to say that even the disintermediators are now at risk of being disintermediated. The Gawker bloggers who challenged New York journalists are now being challenged in their turn by Gawker commenters.
5. And this latter-day change suggests the possibility of another business model, which Grigoriadis sketches in the following way:
Gawker as an automated message board, with commenters generating exponentially greater numbers of page views as they click all over the site to see reactions to their comments, could be the dream. There would then be no editors to pay… (135)
This is extraordinary. I am not sure we would want to call it an exercise in the wisdom of crowds. It’s spleen soaked discourse, as if the body politic has lost all bladder control. But the idea of journalist-free journalism, this is interesting.
6. Some debate would surely turn on how how very disagreeable Gawker is. It is a "foul, bloggy sewer." It specializes in the ad hominem attack. Indeed, it has turned this into the exclusive stuff of its "journalism." We might argue, in its defense, that this is what we ask of journalism. Doubting people’s motives, puncturing their pretensions, seeing past their self serving accounts of what they do, this is what the press is for. But Gawker takes this to an extreme so loathsome, it diminishes the reader as much as the victim.
Not a week goes by when I don’t want to quit this job, because staring at New York in this way makes me sick. (Choire Sicha, Gawker managing editor, p. 42)
It is finally, I would guess, the person who works at Gawker who pays the highest price. If you doubted and diminished motives 12 posts a day, surely an accumulated cynicism must eventually render you incapable of participating in contemporary culture in any other way
7. There is a larger way to make this argument and surely someone in the classroom can be relied upon to chime out this: Gawker is merely the latest symptom of a cultural decline, further proof that Western Civilization is going to hell in a handbasket, incontrovertible evidence that politesse is dying and civility is dead.
8. Another student else could be relied upon to respond that this is perhaps the essential truth of capitalism, that we live in a culture shaped by what people want, not what we think they should want. The success of Gawker tells us that people want to read this stuff. This doesn’t make Gawker right, or true, or just. But it does mean that it has a constituency, that it represents a market. Finally, it’s not about us. It’s about the reader. And this, not to put too fine a point on it, is precisely what makes markets responsive, and, yes, unseemly. But if you have to choose…and we do.
9. There is an anthropological observation to make here, and this kind of thing is notoriously difficult to get into the HBS classroom and culture. And that is that people have been declaring the decline of Western civilization for some hundreds of years. And I think it’s fair to say that even by the most typical Victorian standard, even the most conservative among us looks slovenly and vulgar, a lawless wretch incapable of probity or finer feeling. We are horrified by what we see there, but our children and our children’s children may will wonder what the issue was.
10. We are reacting to the reformation of our culture and the not very dangerous decline of old sensitivities. Most everything that has happened in the last 100 years tells us that these sensitivities may be "reset" without actually damaging the moral core on which restraint and civilization depend. Western civ will survive even this. (Why do we think it’s so delicate?)
11. What we are hoping for is that someone has picked up a stray sentence buried in the middle of the article, dropped into the article by Grigoriadis without further comment.
Denton…gives free reign to editors to attack anyone they’d like (only ex-employees get a free pass). (43)
Case studies are sly creatures. They hide the best things, the better to give the clever students a chance to identify themselves.
12. Let’s begin with the disagreeable contradiction. This "fearless journalism," "anti-media," "friend of the people" stuff only works when no one is protected. The moment you exempt your own is the moment you become yet another special pleader, a vested interest, and a perfect scoundrel.
13. But, hey, this is a case study…in a business school…searching out opportunity, and as opportunities go, this is an absolute beauty. In my classroom, it would have been someone like Charles Hale, Yen Liow, Neil Houghton, students who would have surveyed the problem, spotted the opportunity, and schooled us with 40 well filled seconds of observation and a new map of the problem.
The moment Denton exempts his staff, he opens a competitive opportunity. Why not a Gawker watcher website that catalogs the real and imagined life failings of people who once worked for Gawker?
Let’s calculate the number of people Gawker has offended, the depth of the offense, and their wish for revenge. Small number, big offense. (What would these numbers look like?)
We want three things for this group:
1. we want them to come to our "Gawker watcher" website
2. we want them to supply content for the website by remarking on the lives of ex-Gawker employees
3. we want them to act as early adopters who spread the word of our website
Gawker victims have been deeply, publicly wounded. The need for revenge must run deep. And it is not as if they do not control the means of production. They are talented writers equipped with research skills, and they occupy a proximate professional and social world. They know who the ex-Gawker writers are. They know where they live. Failing that, they know how to find them. Failing that, they will feel themselves to have a license to just make stuff up, the more damaging the better. We can rely on Gawker watcher to make up in creative writing anything it happens to lack in investigative reporting.
14. Classroom debate will center on whether a little website like "Gawker watcher" could ever scale up. If it remains a local New York enthusiasm written about a tiny world by a world that isn’t much bigger, I mean, really, who cares? But that’s the point about small enterprise and the classic start up. All you really need is the beachhead, the place from which to start. Once that’s in place, we can add on additional content, new targets, bigger audiences. We can bootstrap it upwards. The question is this: is there enough here in the first instance to give us purchase in the marketplace, to carve out a little niche in a world where, frankly, Denton now controls the waterfront with the powers of a mob boss or a union head.
15. The business opportunity aside, I wonder if the presence of a Gawker watcher website would have a salutary effect on Gawker itself. If I were a present Gawker writer, such a thing would give me pause. The knowledge that my victim is now supplied with the opportunity to defame me, this might change what I say. The Gawker proposition depends on the fact that it is the only credible player in the ad hominem game. Surely, it is only a matter of time before the marketplace responds to evident demand with interesting supply, and it will be interesting to see what difference that difference makes.
In any case, our case study turns on someone spotting the fact that Gawker has made a mistake. Nick Denton has given someone an opening, a way to steal a march. See the opportunity, take the opportunity, scale up the operation, make a name for yourself in the process, sell early, buy a house in the south of France. It’s what an MBA is for.
References
Grigoriadis, Vanessa. 2007. Everybody Sucks: Gawker and the rage of the creative underclass. New York Magazine. October 22, 2007.
Three surprises and the Long Tail
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I am surprised that people were surprised at my comments on Chris Anderson’s book.
And I am really surprised that Chris Anderson responded from an airport lounge, insubstantially, and with the complaint that we are both on the same side.
First, I don’t see a "we" here. That pretty much dissolved, Chris, when you wrote a remarkably partial book about a remarkably global topic.
And even if it were a better book, University of Chicago rules would apply, and these rules, as I understand them, say:
anthropological discourse is a full contact sport. This is not the time to mince one’s words. There is no point in being rude, but neither should we be unduly amiable or agreeable.
Some would add to this the "rugby rider" that says
on the field of disputation, we are combatants. Off this field, civility, even friendship, may prevail.
I meant the title of the post in question: The Long Tail Strikes Back. Twenty years ago, Anderson’s position as the editor of Wired Magazine would have protected him from criticism. But now that every argumentative know-it-all has a blog, well, the intellectual world has a long tail too. This long tail must make good on its liberty. It can afford to be more forthcoming than other parties and it must insist on doing so or forfeit it’s place in the world.
Finally, I don’t see how Anderson has addressed the issues I raised. So the issues have been raised but now exist in a state of suspension.
Closing matters
Culture Camp
The culture camp in Toronto went really well. It was two days with the client looking at
1) ethnography as a way of collecting data about contempory cultures and markets,
2) anthropology has a way of supplying more foundational understandings of contemporary culture and markets, and
3) the intellectual tools that help us think about contemporary cultures and markets.
Toronto worked well as a place in which to stage a Culture Camp.
Several of us (and especially Russell Davies) have been thinking about how best to create floating academies, and I intend to write up this Culture Camp experience when occasion allows.
Pop!Tech
Andrew Zolli writes to tell us:
Each year, Pop!Tech brings together extraordinary thinkers, leaders and doers to explore the deep forces shaping our collective future, the social impact of new scientific insights and emerging technologies, and the new approaches humanity is taking to address national and global challenges.
This year, with the help of Yahoo!, we will be webcasting the entire Pop!Tech 2007 conference – for free – at http://www.poptech.org/live between 9am and 6.30pm EST, October 18-20, 2007. Viewers can even submit questions to our stage live by emailing questions@poptech.org. The 2007 Pop!Tech program is online at http://www.poptech.org/schedule and speakers are at http://www.poptech.org/speakers
The Long Tail Strikes Back
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Chris Anderson submitted a comment on my Friday post. He quotes the offending passage from my blog and then expresses his displeasure.
"I guess we should be grateful that Penn is not offering up Chris Anderson’s "long tail" fallacy, the odd idea that because we have ceased to be a mass culture we are now an utterly particulated universe of ones."
Huh? "Universe of ones"? Are you confusing my book with "Bowling Alone"?
Grant, either you’ve never read my book or you’re willfully misrepresenting it. Which is it?
Chris, thanks for writing. To answer your question: neither one. Your options are confining and, if I may say, perhaps a little prosecutorial.
In The Long Tail, you refer to
[the web as an] uncategorizable sea of a million destinations (page 2)
an infinite number of niche markets (p. 5)
the shattering of the mainstream into a zillion different cultural shards (p. 5)
infinite slots (p.
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an unlimited number of niche demi-elites (p. 35)
a million niches (p. 52)
interests splinter[ing] into narrower and narrower communities of affinity, going deeper and deeper into their chosen subject matter (p. 57)
When mass culture breaks apart, it doesn’t reform into a different mass. Instead, it turns into millions of micro-cultures, which coexist and interact in a baffling array of ways. (p. 183)
You can see where I might get the impression that you’re committed to a universe of ones, at least in the long term. The terms infinite and unlimited keep cropping up. An "infinite number of niche markets" is a universe of ones. And if this universe is not there in the first place, we will get there eventually, as interests "splinter into narrower and narrower communities of affinity." You have posited a disaggregating dynamic. Interests that are ever narrower must necessarily become a niche per consumer…and a universe of ones.
You will complain that I am cherry picking phrases. (This would be a more robust defense, if you hadn’t used these terms so often and enthusiastically.) But even if we ignore "unlimited" and "infinite" as artifacts of the rhetorical heat of the moment, we still have a problem. The word to which you return repeatedly is "millions," and this is, I think, much too high. Millions of niches is many too many. Even if you are not headed for a "universe of ones," you are positing a very particulated marketplace. Our spectacularly fecund culture/commerce of ours will never parse that finely.
Happily, it’s an empirical question. The natural laboratory of contemporary culture will do it’s work. One of us will be proven right, the other wrong. Let’s call it a bet. If you’re right, I’ll look forward to buying you a case of good Merlot and toasting your success.
But there is a larger problem with The Long Tail. I didn’t see it the first time through but it came charging off the page as I went looking for proof of Friday’s post.
The Long Tail a thoroughly partial book. As I read through a second time, I was struck by what is missing. You give plenty of attention to aggregators like Netflix, Amazon, iTunes, eBay, and Google and pretty much ignore the rest of capitalism! You have taken on one of the most explosive developments in contemporary capitalism…only to offer a partial view and a single solution. It’s as if you declined the larger intellectual challenge.
Readers who doubt this argument may wish to examine the index and see if they can find brand names that are not aggregator related. What is missing in The Long Tail is the work horse of capitalism, the corporation, and the extraordinary challenges that now confronts its innovation, strategy and marketing functions. As virtually everyone knows, the corporate world is scrambling to deal with the speed with which taste and preference now fragment and change. In turns out, The Long Tail pipe has pretty much a single answer for exploding markets: big (or bigger) pipes.
There are two problems with this answer. First, there can only be a few aggregators in the world, and this limits the usefulness of this book for the rest of the world. Second, bigger pipes isn’t, in the larger order of things, really the most interesting, ambitious or canny solution. What the "aggregator answer" ignores are the real challenges that exist as a single corporation learns how to be many things to many people, how it makes the boundary of the corporation more porous, letting the world in and innovation out, how it escapes the inevitable gravitational field created by the corporate culture, how it accomplishes some kind of continuity in the face of its external and increasing internal discontinuity. The scope of this book is smaller than I realized, in its ambition, in its accomplishment, and in its usefulness.
A case in point: At the culture camp here today in Toronto, we were wondering if a corporation like say P&G or Kraft might ever solve the problem of dynamic culture and commerce by becoming more like a Hollywood studio, a pool of capital, intelligence and decision making that draws continually on an external world in order to create the stream of innovation that now appears to be necessary for a corporation to survive. This is of the many things The Long Tail might have explored.
Listen, I have to get ready for tomorrow, let me close with this. It seems to be that The Long Tail treats an astonishing problem, with a narrow, partial, and one might even say provincial response. I rest my case.
The tail stings back
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I am in Toronto doing a Culture Camp today, so posting is going to be tricky, but I am half way through a reply to the comment that Chris Anderson made on Friday’s post. Hope to have something in place by tonight. Tomorrow, latest.
Microtrends meet Max Headroom
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I had a look at Microtrends, the new book by Mark Penn.
The Proposition:
The world may be getting flatter, in terms of globalization, but it is occupied by 6 billion little bumps who do not have to follow the herd to be heard. No matter how offbeat their choices, they can now find 100,000 people or more who share their taste for deep fried yak on a stick. (xiv)
As someone who made this argument in print 10 years ago, it is a little discouraging to see how little progress we have made.
Penn offers us 75 microtrends, and declines any bigger picture. "The one-size-fits-all approach is dead," he tells us. Fair enough. But does the death of monolithic trends mean that we live in a world consisting only noisy, little, episodic ones?
I guess we should be grateful that Penn is not offering up Chris Anderson’s "long tail" fallacy, the odd idea that because we have ceased to be a mass culture we are now an utterly particulated universe of ones. At least, Penn is prepared to see the world aggregating in groups of 100,000. I mean, that’s something.
My argument: Penn is generalizing, he’s just not generalizing enough. And this is no small problem. We are now looking at a world that so teams with variety, dynamism and innovation that thinking in a useful way about social and cultural worlds is extraordinarily difficult. If we have any intellectual overhead left, let’s for god sake use it. (Max Headroom, not just a highway warning anymore!) If we can generalize, we must generalize. Right?
Well, before we get to the generalizations, a word on the howlers. In the chapter called "Unisexuals," Penn addresses "gender bending," by which he appears to mean the way in which the traditional markers of gender categories have broken down. Men buy skin care treatments. Women lift weights. Men work as nannies. Women drive tractors. That kind of thing.
This is a useful observation, I guess. It is a microtrend. The way our culture defines maleness and femaleness is "under review" and the old boundaries have broken down. But then Penn gives us an extended treatment of transgendered people. And this tells us that he is now entirely out of his depth. For the transgendered are not people who participate in the new approach to gender. No, they so insist on the old approach to gender that they are prepared to go under the knife to acknowledge and preserve it. Nothing wrong with that. It’s just that you can’t talk about gender bending and transgenderists as tokens of the same type. At all.
Oh well. The other problem here is the armchair sociology problem. Penn is a pollster. This means he has bags of quantitative data. This data tell him some astonishing things. They tell him, for instance, that a great many young men list "sniper" as a favorite occupation. Sniper!
Penn duly acknowledges this finding and his astonishment. And then he speculates in the blithe, not very interesting, call-in-the-usual-suspects, turn-crank-till-done, kind of explanation. But never does it occur to me to actually ask respondent what he thinks he’s up to. I mean, this isn’t a laboratory. (Nor is this the winter of positivism that prevailed in the period after World War II.) Those paramecium beneath the microscope have powers of speech. They can tell you why they want to be snipers. Idle speculation (utterly untouched by any knowledge of contemporary culture, in this case, Bones) is unnecessary and, actually, uncalled for.
Ok, I have totally run out of time. This is quite different from merely running out of time. When you have merely run out of time your wife is not ready to kill you for giving your Friday night to the blogosphere. So, let me delay till Monday my attempt to use Penn’s 75 microtrends as a stairway to a few, useful generalizations. While we still can, I mean.
References
McCracken, Grant. 1997. Plenitude. Toronto: Periph.: Fluide.
Penn, Mark J. with E. Kinney Zalesne. 2007. Microtrends. The Small Forces Behind Tomorrow’s Big Changes. New York: Twelve.
Montgomery McFate: anthropologizing the anthropologists
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I read last week about anthropologists engaged in the war effort in Afghanistan. There is a "Human Terrain Team" working there, as the Pentagon searches for new ways to understand the field of battle.
Apparently, the terms of engagement there have been changing over the last 18 months. Whereas Rumsfeld optimized the fighting force, General David Petraeus puts an emphasis on the social and cultural contexts in place.
(It was my understanding that Rumsfeld was using new ideas of dynamism, some of them culled from Complex Adaptive Theory, to make the military more responsive. His notion was, or may have been: if the military is maximally responsive, it doesn’t really matter what the social or cultural context is. This is, often, the very logic of capitalism, after all, so it’s not a notion that’s entirely untested.)
The Times articles notes the participation of Montgomery McFate (pictured). McFate may be considered an architect of the Human Terrain approach in Afghanistan. In 2005 she co-wrote as essay that served as the basis of a Department of Defense program called the Cultural Operational Research Human Terrain System. This program has been called "an anthropological brain transplant" for the military.
McFate has her Ph.D. from Yale and a J.D. from Harvard. She grew up in a houseboat community in Sausalito in the throes of the hippie revolution. As a teen, she was something like a Goth and sometimes like a Punk. After Harvard, she had a go at corporate law, but decided, pretty quickly, that this was not for her. It wasn’t until 2002 that she saw her calling. After a long talk with her husband one evening, she scribbled on a napkin: "How do I make anthropology relevant to the military?"
Fellow anthropologists are unhappy with this undertaking. Hugh Gusterson, a professor of cultural studies at George Mason University, says, “I think she’s encouraging people to do things that I regard as unethical.” He has accused McFate of creating a "hit-man anthropology" that "prostitutes" the discipline. (San Francisco Chronicle, SFC hereafter)
Gusterson sees anthropologists in Afghanistan as instruments of destruction.
The thought that you would cultivate those relationships of trust and intimacy and then … go to the Pentagon and say ‘these are the people you should kill, these are the people you shouldn’t kill,’ that’s extremely problematic… (SFC)
But it is not clear that anthropologists are combatants in the conventional sense of the term. The Times quotes General Petraeus as saying that social scientific advice has helped reduce combat operations. Col. Martin Schweitzer, commander of the 82nd Airborne Division, says operations are down by 60% since the anthropologists arrived. By understanding the concepts of Afghani cultures and social tensions on the ground, anthropologists have helped remove the Taliban recruiting levers and its ability to exploit local tensions. (This is another way of saying that the enemy has been using local, entirely anthropological, understandings to prosecute it’s war effort. The military is finally fighting fire with fire, ethno-anthropologists with professional anthropologists.)
McFate is proud of her accomplishments. “I’m frequently accused of militarizing anthropology. But we’re really anthropologizing the military" (NYT). And she makes quick work of the criticism brought against her by other anthropologists, referring to,
their intentional disengagement from policy process, their uninformed unwillingness to learn about what actually goes on in Washington. There’s a blanket condemnation without trying to understand, which strikes me as particularly un-anthropological. (SFC)
I think she has this right. Listen to the first paragraph of the petition that Gusterson and several other anthropologists circulated late last month.
We, the undersigned, believe that anthropologists should not engage in research and other activities that contribute to counter-insurgency operations in Iraq or in related theaters in the “war on terror.” Furthermore, we believe that anthropologists should refrain from directly assisting the US military in combat, be it through torture, interrogation, or tactical advice.
Is there something odd about assuming that what anthropologists do when assisting the US military must consist of torture or interrogation? It seems to me these petitioners are not very good at imagining what might make them useful, and that they leap to conclusions that assume the worst. As we have seen, Gusterson imagines that anthropologists in the field would engage in a "hit man anthropology," that their task would be deciding who the military should kill.
This is clear evidence, I think, of McFate’s criticism, of an "intentional disengagement," an "uninformed unwillingness to learn about what actually goes on," and a "blanket condemnation." These are unattractive qualities in anyone but in anthropologists they are deeply problematical. After all, this is a field that justifies its existence on the grounds that we need to find out what people are thinking, that the world is wrong to proceed without understanding what is happening "on the ground." There most certainly is something "un-anthropological" going on here.
But here’s McFate getting at a deeper issue.
The military is so willing to listen now … and for anthropologists to sit back in their ivory tower and spit at these people that are asking for their help — I think there’s something unethical about that. If you’re not in the room with them, you won’t influence their decisions. (SFC)
This is exactly right. For some anthropologists, there is no such thing as an opportunity cost. Not participating in the work of the military, the state, the corporation, this is always seen to be manifestly the right thing to do. For many anthropologists, engaging with the world is always to enter the embrace of its compromises. Anthropology, that ancient student of world-renouncing culture, has made itself world-renouncing too.
I think the refusal to participate as an anthropologist in Afghanistan has problems of its own. If this refusal makes it easier for the Taliban to recruit young people, to divide communities, to wreck terror locally and abroad, well, refusing to participate now has a cost. There is something to answer for here.
In point of fact, anthropology’s chief contribution to discourse these days sometimes seems to be righteous indignation and positions that are blanket and unsubtle. In the words of Roberto Gonzalez, an associate professor of anthropology at San Jose State University,
The American military is being used by and large from my point of view for geopolitical domination. I think it is very problematic for anthropologists to be involved in a system of essentially domination. (SFC)
Inclinations to generalize in this way sometimes costs a scholar his credibility, if not his chair. But when it comes to talking about their own society, it is par for the anthropological course. This is the disciplinary idea of a badge of courage, their cry from the heart, a noble willingness to stand and be counted. Ah, they are nothing if not self-dramatizing, this group. Anthropology has gone from studying identity politics to practicing identity scholarship.
Anthropologists used to worry about "arm chair" anthropology, the kind of scholarship undertaken in the 19th century by the founders of the field. But I wonder now if the object of our concern shouldn’t be something like "high horse" anthropology, that inclination to address the world outside the ivory tower as if it were always and only an exercise in compromise and prostitution.
Some anthropologists may be too good for the world. But they have to understand that their refusal to participate has consequences and that these consequences have moral implications. You say McFate is an easy target. How bout you?
References
Gusterson, Hugh, et al. 2007. Pledge of Non-participation in Counter-insurgency. Network of Concerned Anthropologists. Circulated September 29, 2007. here.
Rohde, David. 2007 Army Enlists Anthropology in Wars Zones. New York Times. October 5, 2007. here.
Stannard, Matthew. 2007. Can one anthropologist possibly steer the course in Iraq. San Francisco Chronicle. April 29, 2007. here. (referred to herein as SFC)
Odyssey or Arc
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In the Times today, David Brooks describes a new life stage, the one that stands, he says, between adolescence and adulthood. Odyssey, he calls it.
Odyssey is a time of upheaval and uncertainty, a transition phase. Patterns do not form. A sense of direction is hard to come by. Things seem suspended.
Most of all, the Odyssians experience a kind of fluidity.
Old success recipes don’t apply, new norms have not been established and everything seems to give way to a less permanent version of itself.
[...]
The job market is fluid. Graduating seniors don’t find corporations offering them jobs that will guide them all the way to retirement. Instead they find a vast menu of information economy options, few of which they have heard of or prepared for.
Social life is fluid. There’s been a shift in the balance of power between the genders. Thirty-six percent of female workers in their 20s now have a college degree, compared with 23 percent of male workers. Male wages have stagnated over the past decades, while female wages have risen.
I don’t doubt that Mr. Brooks is on to something. But I do wonder whether the things he attributes to the Odyssey phase of life, the uncertainty, indeterminacy, and fluidity, are not true of all the stages of life thereafter. Isn’t this just another way of talking about the dynamism that has descended on us all?
Mr. Brooks says it is "possible even for baby boomers to understand what it’s like to be in the middle of the odyssey years." But exactly. Living in a cultural and political regime that turn on a time, occupying industries and corporations that may or may not be around in 5 years from now, vulnerable by international politics and globalized economies that can intrude at any moment, boomers don’t need to be paragons of empathy to know what it’s like to be an Odyssian. They live this condition most all the time.
I have great respect for Mr. Brooks, but on this assignment I couldn’t help wondering, "Where is Virginia Postrel when you need her."
References
Brooks, David. 2007. The Odyssey Years. The New York Times. October 9, 2007. here.
John Hodgman…making economics fun and accessible
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As a public service, I offer these trenchant observations on currency exchange and the American dollar here.
Book NOW!
Posted by: | CommentsThe Convergence Culture Consortium at MIT is hold it’s second annual conference devoted to the futures of entertainment. It’s being held in Cambridge, MA, November 16th and 17th. Seats are limited so book now!
More detail from the Futures website:
Futures of Entertainment 2 brings together key industry players who are shaping these new directions in our culture with academics exploring their implications. This year’s conference will consider developments in advertising, cult media, metrics, measurement, and accounting for audiences, cultural labor and audience relations, and mobile platform development.
Scheduled speakers include: Jesse Alexander (Heroes), Danny Bilson (The Rocketeer), Marc Davis (Yahoo!), Mark Deuze (Indiana U), Raph Koster (Areae), and Tina Wells (Buzz Marketing Group)
You can register on-line here.
Our Microsoft deliverance
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It’s here. Google Powerpoint, aka Presentations, has arrived.
I haven’t seen any fanfare. It was rumored in February and again in April. The official confirmation came on September 17, 2007 on the Google Blog. I found it at Google Docs and Spreadsheets when I checked today.
This is a momentous occasion. It marks the end of the Microsoft hegemony. Between them, Google and Firefox now give us an entire suite, a web browser, a word processor, a spreadsheet, gmail and now Powerpoint. God almighty, we are free at last.
So why not more publicity? Why a not a little celebration? I can’t believe that I found out about my liberation by accident. Google must do more.
My family will treat September 17 as a special day. I will be very surprised if we don’t gather each year at the dining room table to thank God for our deliverance from the pharaonic Microsoft.
References
The announcement from The Official Google Blog, here.
Have a go at Googles Presentations, here.


