Archive for July, 2006

Google_trend_iiiHere’s what happens when you enter the terms "anthropology" and "economics" as search terms in Google Trends Lab.  (Clicking on the image will make it larger and more legible.)

Economics looks pretty active.

Anthropology is flat lined. 

It’s a little tragic.

But note, most particularly, that no where do these lines intersect. 

Have a great week end.

References

Enter your own search terms at Google Trends Lab here.

 

Acknowledgments

Thanks to Dave Snell for a key email. 

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Jul
06

Two newish rules of film making

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Monk I don’t know that it makes sense to have spent the 4th of July watching television programs and movies, but that’s what I did. 

Monk (USA Network)
House (Fox)
Match Point (a film by Woodie Allen)

So there was a theme: how people with massive psychological problems can still make a contribution.  I always find this heartening news. 

There were other themes.  Two, actually:

1. the rule of partial disclosure

Being a viewer used to mean having things served up with perfect clarity.  All people, institutions, events on the screen came with full exposition.  Anything less, the filmmaker seemed to think, and the audience would panic and stampede from the theatre. 

But now TV and the movies are filled with partial disclosure.  People, institutions, events come and go.  They are not explained in and off themselves.  They are not explained as players in this drama.  The medical lingo in House is a good example.  We are prepared to take these things as read.  Several of Monk’s obsessions are perfectly, intuitively accessible, but some are sort of baffling.  (Rounding numbers, for instance, what’s up with that?)  We take these as read.

This is an exercise in synecdoche, where parts stand for wholes.  The parts may be quirky and unintuitive, but, often, we go, ok, that’s about the medical professional (House) or the medical condition (Monk), got it, let’s move on. 

2. the rule of exquisite choice

If you are going to evoke a whole with a part, the part can’t be lame or too general.

This is where Woody Allen got it badly wrong.  Match Point is a good movie.  Allen is particularly good at capturing the way people carrying on group conversations, everyone chattering to someone who is chattering to someone who is chattering…  Language rises up in a little cloud of indeterminacy, not so much referential as phatic, people locating (or placing) one another in emotional space. 

But, oof, but the howlers!  Allen offers us his male lead as a tennis instructor, only to have Jonathan Rhys Meyers demonstrate that he hasn’t a clue how to handle a racket.  I mean, we are prepared to have this biographical fact dropped into the plot without much exposition, but if and only if Jonathan Rhys Meyers can actually sell the thing with a decent forehand.  And he can’t. 

It’s not just disbelief that is no longer suspended, it is the rule of partial disclosure.  What, so he isn’t a tennis instructor?  He’s merely pretending to be   We are alert to the small details.  We can manage with the tiniest amounts of exposition.  And as long as this is the case, a director wants to watch what he puts before us.  What will not do is that Hitchcockian "oh, they’ll never notice."  Noticing is what we now do. 

This happens again when Allen wants us to understand that Jonathan Rhys Meyers is entering the world of business.  This is precisely the kind of thing that was boiler plate for Hollywood.  Because no one there knows anything about business outside of show business.  So business, when it is not demonized, is presented in a general, you-get-the-idea, way. 

But the law of exquisite choice says it can’t be general.  We are prepared to move from the part to the whole, from the specific to the general, but only if you offer the specific part if fully credible, ethnographically nuanced, terms. 

Anyhow, that’s what I did with the 4th of July.  Try to formulate new laws for popular culture.  Codification, it’s an anthropological thing. 

Jul
05

What is blogging good for

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Ebay_logo Some say blogging is still an answer looking for a question.

Not bloggers, of course.  We know it’s a chance to shoot our mouths off.

But the rest of the world wonders.  What is blogging good for?

Today, notice of that eBay may have found a way to make us useful.

Ebay wants to build bridges by developing software which it can then put in the hands of bloggers, allowing them to create links between niche communities and relevant products.  … The idea behind [MeCommerce] software is to allow bloggers to recommend music, books, DVDs and T-shirts to readers who can make impulse purchases without leaving the blog.

We will serve as a tributary system for Ebay.  We will find consumers where they live…or at least where they read. We will make heartfelt endorsements.  Purchases will be made.  If this model works, blogging is the new TV, tiny and particular where TV was mighty and mass.

Then the question is whether bloggers will "flock" in a manner that allows producers to recapture big bets.  Will enough of us recommend the same movies, books, TV shows (and perhaps TV sets, cars, and suit makers?) that someone can hope to make their numbers.  Or is this truly a descent into Chris Anderson’s notion of the market as a small tail, in which small producers exist to serve small niches. 

The other question is what the Ebay harness would do to blogging.  I think there is a good chance that it would transform our editorial content quite substantially.  It might well make us less criticial. Why diss something when we can give praise that brings profit?  I think I like the blogosphere better without a harness.

And while we are glimping the larger significance of blogging, consider the interview with Fiona Czerniawska on the present and future of consulting Management Consulting News. 

See if blogging doesn’t seem like an answer to the "thought leadership" issue.  We will have to think of ways, first, to inform bloggers with better data, in the manner of all management consulting, and second, to aggregate and harvest blogging idea generation.  But clearly there is a great engine of ingenuity, creativity, and intellectual activity out there that shouldn’t be very hard to tap.  I am hoping that Steve Postrel might give us the benefit of his opinion. 

MCNews: As consultants try to make their mark among  these various decision makers, what’s working for consultants in terms of marketing, and is that changing  at all?

Czerniawska: I see a great deal of activity around thought leadership. I can’t count the number of firms that seem to be investing heavily in revamping their thought leadership, both in terms of the internal process through which they develop content but also the extent to which they communicate effectively outside.

MCNews: Do you see that as a renewed effort?

Czerniawska: Yes. Quite a few firms canned their thought leadership teams in 2002, but are now rebuilding them. And they’re by no means alone. When I say the words ‘thought leadership’ to virtually any firm, I get lots and lots of people sitting up and paying attention and saying, we’re putting millions of dollars into this. We don’t know what we’re getting, but we need to do something.                   

MCNews: Is it your sense that understanding the return on investment for thought leadership is important or is it something that firms just believe they need to do?

Czerniawska: Oh, I think they recognize that it’s important. Maybe they’ve been down the road with the big expense of advertisements, which help build a firm’s brand but don’t really help clients short-list the firm for projects. It’s an increasingly hard tool to use for differentiation. I think people see thought leadership as the key battleground at the present.

References

Callan, Eoin.  2006.  Ebay considers creating software tools to tap blogging markets.  Financial Times.  July 5, 2006. 

For the Management Consulting News interview with Czerniawska, go here.

Categories : Blogging
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Jul
03

Levitt vs. Geertz

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Dell I’ve been on the road 33 of the last 44 days.  I have neglected blog comments.  I read them, certainly, but I don’t always have enough time or presence of mind to reply.

I mean to do better, starting now. 

Yesterday, Auto offered on comment on Friday’s post.  He wondered whether Theodore Levitt warrants the fuss lavished on him in managerial and marketing circles.  He wondered whether Levitt is perhaps less interesting, less significant that the anthropologist to whom I had compared him, Clifford Geertz.

I would argue that Levitt is more important to business than Geertz is to anthropology, and intellectually more interesting, in any case.  There are several ways to make this argument, but here’s one. 

Let’s consider a "case study" from the pages of Friday’s Financial Times. 

Dell is a $56 billion collosus.  Last year it grew 14% on revenue and 21% on earnings.  As we know, Dell managed this success story by supply chain management and a disintermediation of intermediate parties.  In this industry, to use the words of the famous video, Dell so commandeers the supply chain, it could argue, "All your base (and profit) are belong to us."

But things are no longer quite so rosy.  Dell’s massive price advantage has diminished.  With recent successes at HP, Acer and Lenovo, that advantage may now be as little as 5%.  (So speculates Richard Gardner of Citigroup in the Financial Times.)  Results in the last 3 quarters have disappointed and shares have fallen more than 40% in the last 12 months.

Now, in these circumstances, companies typically respond by doing what they have always done better than they have ever done it.  Indeed, Dell has squeezed $3 billion worth of savings out of what must have been a very lean system. 

But this is sometimes the road to disaster, especially when the competition is playing a discontinuous, Christensenian game, as most now do in the "innovation economy."

But at some point, the corporation sees that old tactics and strategies are no longer working.  Typically this is the moment that Levitt’s question begins to tug at the edges of senior managers’ consciousness. "What business are we in?"

In my experience, this question usually provokes a certain literalism.  In Dell’s case, likely, a surprised, "well, um, we make personal computers."

But this is of course the wrong answer.  Indeed, it is, or may be, the very assumption that now makes life difficult for the corporation.  Corporations are magnificent problem solving machines, but they are obliged, in a Batesonian way, to make some assumptions. Only thus can we "get down to business."  These assumptions will remain in place unless and until some crisis, or the Levittian question, forces them to the surface.

The power of Levitt’s question, then, is that it always elicits the wrong answer.  It is, I think, designed to reveal the invisible and therefore fatal assumption that is the corporation’s new place of competitive disadvantage.  Levitt’s question matters because it reveals, to use the buddhist’s notion, the error with which wisdom must begin. 

Let us examine what might be the course of Dell’s self examination.  Dell can’t be in the "personal computer" business.  After all, the personal computer is an historical accident and a fleeting thing.  The PC looks and feels like an indisputable, inevitable fact but it is an artifact shaped by accidents that "just happened" and "path dependencies" that have long since disappeared.  In point of fact, the personal computer is the unholy child produced out of wedlock by a brief and unlikely indiscretion on the part of IBM and Microsoft (with genetic contributions from Intel, Xerox, and Apple), and shaped ever since by a technological race to see what improvements could be made coaxed out of a "standard package" that is not, as I say, very standard at all.

If there is any doubt on this one, we have in the last few years watched as computer chips insinuate themselves into cars, household appliances, clock radios, Xboxes, iPods, PDAs and cell phones.  These are personal computers, too.  Indeed, they are more personal than the PC.

People at Dell are alive to the fact that the culture and the consumer have changed. Ro Parra, the head of Dell’s consumer business, watched his teenage daughter getting ready for her exams.

She was listening to music on the internet, she was chatting with her friends online, and she was doing research at the same time.  There is a dramatic change going on in the way people use computers. You can argue our products probably lost some of their sizzle and lost excitement relative to our competitors.

The marketer within cringes at the idea that Parra got the news from his daughter.  I mean really this is what marketing research is for.  But, very good, Dell is on notice.  The world is changing. 

Perhaps Dell is now poised to grasp additional opportunities, especially the MPC (more personal computer).  But fully to accept Levitt’s challenge, Dell will also have to get in touch with culture and consumers on a continual basis.  It is no longer enough merely to find the one true successor to the beige box but to engage in product development that contemplates and auditions a vertible stream of successors.  This will take new kinds of marketing research and strategy.  Finally, Dell will have to embrace a new level of design intelligence.  The iPod demonstrates that a new product must instruct the consumer in what it is and how it works in a single glance.  Dell did introduce a music player (Jukebox, pictured) a couple of years ago.  It was an impressively bad piece of design.  Design is a way of delivering novelty without provoking astonishment. 

These urgent tasks are not necessarily implicit in Levitt’s question, but the marketer cannot embrace them until he or she understands that the world has changed and that the old order has passed. 

In sum, Levitt’s question matters because it an opportunity to climb out of once profitable but now mistaken assumptions.  Climb out?  Bail out, more like it.  Mistaken assumptions will carry us to a terrible end if we don’t part company.  So, yes, it’s an important question. 

This may say enough to make the argument, but a couple more words. Clifford Geertz is one of the great architects of anthropology’s interpretive turn.  His elegant essays and books help us see the ways in which culture and meanings form the social world.  This is precisely the sort of thing that is removed by economic man models, to hat’s off to this aspect of his work and his influence.  (I should also acknowledge that I am a Geertzian as everyone trained in the 1970s must be, and that I became an anthropologist largely on the strength of his influence.)

The thing about Geertz is that his actor is almost always a theatrical actor, playing out dramas and meanings.  There isn’t much room here for agency and absolutely no room for cultural forms that emerge from the concatenation of economic actors and activities "on the ground."  This is of course an important "site of production" in contemporary, First world cultures and while the Geertzian influence has a beneficial effect on the students on traditional societies, it is not much help when it comes to the rest of the world.

Indeed, ours is a culture in which everyone and not just the corporation routinely discovers that favorite assumptions no longer actually seem to apply.  Everyone, not just the corporation, is having to ask "what is it that I am, what is that I do" on a continual basis.  This suspends the actor not in a web of meaning but in a set of a conflicting, largely inscrutable agenda and the dynamism that these agenda set in train.  First we must read the world, guessing at codes, grasping at interpretations.  And then we must decide what and who we are.  What makes sense?  What makes sense?  What’s our best hope? 

Levitt’s question applies not just to the corporation but to culture, and we cannot answer it without giving the actor the agency, the self interest, and the active intelligence that Geertz and anthropology seem sometimes to have taken out.

References

Allison, Kevin.  2006.  Can Dell Succeed in getting its mojo back.  Financial Times.  June 29, 2006, p. 17.

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